Wormatia Worms vs VfR Heilbronn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
RVO
1 - 1
WWO
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
WWO
3 - 1
BNE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
DAR
1 - 1
WWO
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
WWO
0 - 1
WAL
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
MUN
3 - 2
WWO
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
BNE
2 - 1
HEI
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
HEI
2 - 2
PIR
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
KSC
5 - 1
HEI
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
HEI
0 - 3
FCN
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
BVB
3 - 0
HEI
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |