Wormatia Worms vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
WWO
1 - 1
WIR
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LOG
3 - 1
WWO
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
WWO
5 - 1
SAL
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SAA
3 - 2
WWO
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
WWO
6 - 0
BET
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
BYM
5 - 2
M05
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
M05
3 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
STU
2 - 0
M05
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
M05
1 - 2
HAN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HSV
2 - 2
M05
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |