Wormatia Worms vs Karbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
5º
12
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 5
WWO
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WWO
1 - 1
DIE
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
WWO
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WWO
3 - 2
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 4
WWO
10%
14%
77%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Karbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
EPP
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GON
1 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
EIS
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |