Wormatia Worms vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
S04
2 - 1
WWO
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
WWO
3 - 2
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BOR
6 - 3
WWO
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WWO
4 - 0
OGG
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +4 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
ELV
1 - 1
WWO
55%
24%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 4
SGF
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 2
M05
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SCF
0 - 0
SGF
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 0
SGF
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |