Wormatia Worms vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
VFR
4 - 0
WWO
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
WWO
2 - 2
SAA
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
4 - 0
WWO
57%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
WWO
1 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
WWO
3 - 2
HEI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
SGF
1 - 3
HEI
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
BVB
1 - 0
SGF
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
M05
2 - 3
SGF
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
SGF
1 - 1
BAY
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
SGF
1 - 1
BVB
39%
23%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |