Wormatia Worms vs Eppelborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
5º
12
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
3 - 0
EIS
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOB
1 - 2
WWO
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 2
KAR
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 5
WWO
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WWO
1 - 1
DIE
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 2
EPP
33%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 1
EPP
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EPP
1 - 8
GON
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
3 - 2
EPP
38%
21%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 1
KOB
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |