Wormatia Worms vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
WWO
3 - 1
AAA
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
WWO
1 - 0
HER
17%
23%
61%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
SGF
2 - 0
WWO
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
S04
4 - 0
WWO
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
WWO
1 - 2
HAN
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
KFC
0 - 3
BAU
35%
23%
42%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
S04
3 - 0
BAU
86%
9%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SAO
0 - 2
BAU
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
FRE
3 - 2
BAU
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
BAU
0 - 5
KSC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |