Workington vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 6
ALT
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 2
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
COL
3 - 2
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 0
SOL
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 3
NOR
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 0
WOR
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIS
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 0
STO
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
VAU
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |