FA Trophy 1/16
Global 3-2
Workington vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WES
1 - 1
WOR
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
WOR
1 - 3
WHI
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 2
WOR
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 2
WOR
25%
24%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 1
NAN
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WES
1 - 1
WOR
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 3
WES
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 2
WES
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WES
2 - 1
HUN
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
WES
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |