Workington vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
COL
1 - 4
WOR
35%
25%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
GAI
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIS
3 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 0
HIS
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
OXF
6 - 2
HIN
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
OXF
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
VAU
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |