Workington vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HED
4 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 3
BRA
22%
24%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
BOS
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
OXF
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
WOR
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 4
NOR
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 3
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
VAU
76%
15%
8%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |