Workington vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 2
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
HYD
2 - 3
WOR
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
GLO
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 1
RFC
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
HYD
0 - 2
WOR
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TOW
2 - 0
SOL
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
TOW
3 - 3
DRO
19%
22%
58%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
TOW
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
TOW
2 - 1
NOR
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOW
1 - 1
GLO
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |