Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STA
1 - 3
WOR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WOR
3 - 0
EAS
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 0
WOR
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 1
WOR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 2
ALT
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 1
TOW
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
ALT
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 2
GAI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 2
HIS
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SOL
5 - 3
GAI
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |