Workington vs Droylsden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
WOR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
5 - 0
WOR
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 1
HIN
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Droylsden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 0
COL
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 2
HIS
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 0
DRO
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
COR
5 - 0
DRO
28%
22%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 0
GLO
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |