Workington vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DRO
1 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 1
SOL
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOW
0 - 1
WOR
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 1
BIS
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
4 - 2
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
GUI
21%
24%
54%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 5
HIN
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |