Workington vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
WOR
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
WAR
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 0
WOR
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 1
WOR
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 0
RFC
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 1
ABB
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ABB
3 - 3
ALT
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
WIT
0 - 2
ALT
75%
16%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 2
COA
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |