Workington vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WOR
4 - 2
GAI
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 1
AFC
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 3
EAS
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GLO
2 - 0
WOR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
WOR
5 - 1
RED
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 2
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALF
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 6
ALF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ALF
3 - 3
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 0
WOR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |