Wörgl vs Union Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
7 - 1
KEM
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 4
WOR
8%
15%
77%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 0
HAL
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
12%
16%
72%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
WOR
4 - 1
MAT
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
KIR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KEM
0 - 1
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
WAT
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
UNI
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 3
MOT
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |