Wörgl vs Ebbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 3
FUG
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
FCV
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
KUN
72%
16%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
4 - 0
WOR
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 3
EBB
70%
17%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
TEL
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
EBB
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 1
STJ
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 3
IAC
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |