Wörgl vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
MAT
1 - 0
WOR
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 0
KAP
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
SCA
1 - 0
WOR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
0 - 1
WIE
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
LAS
2 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SCA
2 - 3
LAS
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
UNT
2 - 0
SCA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
SCA
1 - 0
WOR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
LBN
1 - 3
SCA
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SCA
0 - 1
MAT
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |