Wörgl vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2002 |
BBL
2 - 2
WOR
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
SCA
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 1
UNT
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
LAS
2 - 0
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
LBN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2002 |
LBN
1 - 0
LUS
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
MAT
4 - 0
LBN
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
2 - 1
LBN
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
LBN
3 - 0
BRA
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
LBN
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |