Wörgl vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
19
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
IMS
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
WOR
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
TEL
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
REI
0 - 2
WOR
48%
22%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 3
FUG
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
KUN
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
5 - 1
KUN
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KUF
3 - 0
KUN
80%
13%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
KUN
0 - 0
KIT
9%
18%
73%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KUN
1 - 1
MOT
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |