Wörgl vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
2 - 2
WOR
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
5 - 1
MOT
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SVI
0 - 2
WOR
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
6 - 0
VOL
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
JEN
1 - 8
WOR
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 2
KEM
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
KIR
15%
18%
68%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIR
4 - 1
HAL
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
KUN
1 - 3
KIR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
4 - 0
MAT
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |