Wörgl vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 4
WOR
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 0
HAL
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
12%
16%
72%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
WOR
4 - 1
MAT
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FUG
4 - 4
WOR
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KEM
0 - 1
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KEM
3 - 0
SCH
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 2
KEM
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KEM
1 - 0
KUN
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
KEM
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |