Wörgl vs Innsbrucker AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
25
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
7 - 0
WOR
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 1
STJ
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KEM
4 - 2
WOR
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
EBB
62%
19%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 3
FUG
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Innsbrucker AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
IAC
2 - 1
TEL
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
IAC
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
IAC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IAC
0 - 1
STJ
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 3
IAC
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |