Wörgl vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
USC
5 - 3
WOR
32%
21%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
HOH
79%
12%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 3
WOR
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 2
SAL
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
FCW
1 - 1
WOR
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 1
GRO
7%
19%
74%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 3
HAR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 3
DOR
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SEE
3 - 3
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |