Wörgl vs FC Kärnten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 2
KAP
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
RIE
4 - 0
WOR
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 2
RIE
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 0
GKN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
UNT
2 - 2
WOR
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kärnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2005 |
LBN
0 - 4
FCK
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
FCK
1 - 2
KAP
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
KAP
2 - 0
FCK
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
LAS
4 - 2
FCK
21%
24%
54%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
GKN
2 - 3
FCK
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |