Worcester City vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BLY
3 - 0
WOR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 2
NUN
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
0 - 1
SOL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
RFC
1 - 1
WOR
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
3 - 2
HIN
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BOS
4 - 0
WOR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
SOL
60%
25%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
VAU
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GAI
1 - 1
WOR
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 1
TOW
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |