Worcester City vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
WOR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 0
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NUN
1 - 1
WOR
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
WOR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 0
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 2
NOR
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TOW
5 - 0
UNM
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
UNM
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 3
ALF
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
AFC
5 - 1
UNM
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |