Worcester City vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 3
WOR
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 0
AFC
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 0
GUI
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
WOR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
3 - 0
RAM
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 0
VAU
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
OXF
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HEN
2 - 1
OXF
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
HIS
2 - 2
OXF
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
4 - 1
STO
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |