Worcester City vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 0
WOR
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
LIN
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 0
WOR
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
RUG
0 - 2
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 0
RUG
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
RUN
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 1
NOR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
NOR
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |