Worcester City vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 0
WOR
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 1
WOR
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 2
WOR
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
GLO
3 - 1
WOR
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 2
GUI
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 2
HIS
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
4 - 3
GLO
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TOW
0 - 0
HIS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 3
BIS
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |