Worcester City vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NUN
3 - 0
WOR
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 0
EAS
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOW
0 - 2
WOR
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 3
WOR
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 0
STA
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 3
BIS
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 3
HIN
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 2
HIN
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 1
DRO
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HIN
2 - 2
VAU
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |