Worcester City vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
WOR
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 3
CHO
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
3 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 1
LOW
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 2
TAM
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HED
0 - 3
UNM
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
HED
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
HED
3 - 3
COR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TOW
2 - 1
HED
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
FYL
2 - 0
HED
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |