Worcester City vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 1
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 3
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
WOR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HED
3 - 0
OXF
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
HED
3 - 2
LEA
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STA
0 - 4
HED
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HED
2 - 1
UNM
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
HED
3 - 3
FYL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |