Worcester City vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 5
ASV
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
FYL
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LOW
2 - 1
WOR
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
WOR
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 1
YOR
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CLE
2 - 3
TOW
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 1
TOW
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 1
TOW
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 1
FYL
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |