Worcester City vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HYD
0 - 2
WOR
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
WOR
60%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 2
WOR
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BLY
3 - 0
WOR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
WOR
2 - 2
NUN
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GLO
3 - 2
TOW
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
TOW
1 - 3
HYD
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NUN
3 - 0
TOW
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
VAU
1 - 1
TOW
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TOW
2 - 2
HIN
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |