Worcester City vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
WOR
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 3
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
GAI
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
WOR
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 1
GLO
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
WOR
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 2
GLO
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
GLO
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
CHM
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |