Worcester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
WOR
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TAM
3 - 0
WOR
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
WOR
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WOR
3 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOS
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GAI
3 - 1
HED
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 1
TOW
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
ASH
3 - 1
GAI
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 0
ASH
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 1
CHO
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |