Worcester City vs Droylsden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 3
AFC
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 1
WOR
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 2
ALF
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
STA
0 - 0
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Droylsden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 1
ALF
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
RED
1 - 3
DRO
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
DRO
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
DRO
0 - 5
SOL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 0
DRO
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |