Worcester City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 0
WOR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
HAL
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 0
WOR
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
TAM
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 0
WOR
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 1
ALT
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 3
TOW
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 2
DAR
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
DAR
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 3
CUR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |