Worcester City vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HIS
1 - 2
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
6 - 1
WOR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
GLO
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
WOR
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 0
TOW
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
OXF
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 3
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 3
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
VAU
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
COL
72%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |