Worcester City vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 1
WOR
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 2
WOR
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
GLO
3 - 1
WOR
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 1
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
46%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
VAU
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 1
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
COL
59%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 0
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
46%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |