Worcester City vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
WOR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 1
WOR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
3 - 1
HIN
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 0
WOR
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
3 - 2
OXF
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
CHE
25%
24%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
BOS
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
GAI
0 - 2
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |