Worcester City vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 1
WOR
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
17%
22%
60%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 1
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 3
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 3
OXF
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
BRA
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 4
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LEA
2 - 0
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |