Worcester City vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LOW
1 - 1
WOR
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BOS
2 - 0
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 4
FYL
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 4
WOR
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
SOL
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
CHO
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |