Wolves vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
REA
1 - 0
WOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 2
MID
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 2
WOL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 2
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 3
PNE
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
3 - 0
BUR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
4 - 3
CRY
43%
25%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 2
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
REA
4 - 0
WAT
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
SCU
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |