Wolves vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
16º
20º
17º
10
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 97 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 86 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 65 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 55 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 53 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 37 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
24% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
WOL
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 6
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
WOL
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 1
RAY
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 1
TOT
38%
24%
38%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
NEW
23%
23%
54%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRE
72%
18%
11%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |