FA Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Wolves vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1979 |
CRY
0 - 1
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
QPR
3 - 3
WOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
WOL
1 - 0
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
IPS
3 - 1
WOL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
LEY
2 - 0
NEW
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
BHA
2 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
SHE
1 - 0
NEW
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |