Wolves vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
7.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
BPO
5 - 2
WOL
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
CAR
3 - 2
WOL
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1961 |
TOT
1 - 1
WOL
59%
19%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 1
MUD
73%
14%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
BBU
2 - 1
WOL
27%
22%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
NEW
1 - 3
SHE
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1961 |
CAR
3 - 2
NEW
46%
22%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
LEI
5 - 3
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
NEW
3 - 3
ARS
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |